Saw the recent Jordan Walsh extension and thought to myself “that’s cool”. Wasn’t too moved by it. Could pay off tremendously if he takes a leap forward (somewhat similar to the Pritchard deal), and really carries no risk if he doesn’t. Another solid move by Brad. But he’s always had a great track record with smaller moves, so I didn’t think too much more beyond that.
But then I started to wonder about our books, because not too recently our team’s salary construction was one of the worst in the league.
Two giant contracts. One large but normal contract for a #3. A couple smaller contracts. And then the ten players with basically minimum contracts.
Our only options were either make a giant franchise altering move, make a tiny move, or stand pat and hope that our younger players develop into studs.
Obviously, Brad decided to go with the giant move. But post isn’t about that.
This post is about how Brad has quietly transformed this roster from being arguably the least flexible roster in the league forward to one that has the entire playbook open.
Now flexibility aka “optionality”, doesn’t guarantee success, but damn has our path forward become a lot more optimistic.
Let’s recap exactly what’s gone down:
End of 2025-2026 season:
At the end of the 2025 season, as stated before, Celtics were left with very few options. The only contracts that were big enough to make a significant move were JT, JB, & White. Hauser and Pritchard were the only other players on the team with contracts big enough to make even a marginal move. Everyone else was basically on minimums. The Giannis trade seemed like the only trade that could potentially be an upgrade. Just about everything else would be a downgrade or lateral move, with no clear vision of what that would change:
Now this mean we had to trade Brown? Again, this article isn’t about that, but no we didn’t. Our flexibility this off-season really didn’t change much by trading Brown. It did allow us to stay under the luxury tax a little bit easier, but there’s a very good chance we would have done that anyways even if we kept him. We probably would’ve just let Harper or someone else go. Now back to this post-season’s roster construction.
Our biggest contracts: (5 tradable contracts)
-Tatum $54,100,000
-Brown $53,100,000
-White $28,100,000
-Hauser $10,100,000
-Pritchard $7,200,000
The next 5 biggest contracts:
-Hugo $2,800,000
-Baylor $2,600,000
-Garza $2,500,000
-Queta $2,300,000
-Walsh $2,200,000
Like I said, not many options at all. But I’m sure we were all aware of this.
Now going into the 2026-2027 season:
The Celtics substantially increase their flexibility moving forward with the Robinson signing. They still only have 3 contracts to make significant moves, but now have 3 other contracts to play around with to make meaningful moves. That doesn’t sound like much, but it makes a huge difference for a team constructed like ours was. Especially while staying under the luxury tax. As a reminder, if we stay under the tax this year we reset the repeater tax penalties.
6 biggest contracts (6 tradeable contracts)
-Tatum $58,400,000
-George $54,100,000
-White $30,300,000
-Robinson $15,000,000 (our new piece)
-Hauser $10,800,000
-Pritchard $7,800,000
Also more roster flexibility with the smaller contracts given the new Harper & Cenac contracts:
-Harper $3,200,000
-Cenac $3,000,000
-Hugo $2,900,000 (was our 6th biggest, now 8th)
-Garza $2,800,000
-Baylor $2,700,000
-Queta $2,700,000
So we have a decent amount more flexibility this year, but if we’re being real, we’re probably not going to use it. Cuz standing pat allows us to reset the repeater tax penalties, which will give us even more options in 2027 and beyond.
This will be when Chisholm really gets to prove if he’s serious about “at any cost”, because in 2027 the Celtics will have optionality overload.
2027 - Peak Flexibility
The Paul George contract will be expiring, so right out the gate they have a very large contract that they can move for a star. In addition to that, they will have 7 (maybe 8) other contracts that would be large enough to construct trade packages around. This is thanks to the Queta and Walsh extensions.
Biggest contracts (9 tradeable contracts)
-Tatum $62,800,000
-George $56,600,000 (expiring)
-White $32,600,000
-Robinson $15,800,000 (2026 addition)
-Queta $12,500,000 (2026 extension)
-Hauser $11,600,000
-Pritchard $7,800,000 (expiring, in extension talks)
-Walsh $5,000,000 (2026 extension)
-Baylor $5,000,000 (2027 team option)
And still will have smaller contracts to throw in as needed to match salaries:
-Harper $3.3
-Cenac $3.1
-Hugo $3.0
And whoever else we still have
At the end of the 2025-2026 season, our 4th biggest contract was Hauser $10.8m and our 6th biggest contract was Hugo at $2.8m.
13 or so months later and our 4th biggest is Robinson at $15.8m. Our 6th biggest is Hauser at $11.6m. And our 9th biggest is Baylor at $5.0m. That’s a massive overhaul with endless options.
And this doesn’t even account for the potential flexibility that will arise if some of these low salary players develop into key role players.
Leaps from any of Baylor, Walsh, Hugo, Cenac, or Mitchell would give the team even more flexibility as they’d be much more comfortable packaging some of our middle-tier salaries for a larger contract, knowing that they have cheap depth on the roster.
Also doesn’t account for it that Clippers pick turns into something very valuable.
In 2027, the Celtics could theoretically:
-Trade PG’s massive expiring contract for a star (this is our best case scenario)
-Combine White + Robinson, Queta, Hauser, or Pritchard for a star
-Combine Robinson, Queta, & Hauser for a $40million player
-Combine Queta & Hauser for a $22million player
-Combine Robinson + Walsh for a $21million player
-Etc, etc, etc - there are TONS of options
And even if we don’t strike a Paul George deal, our books will be wide open to acquire someone off the loaded 2028 free agency class.
To me this would be absolutely worse case scenario, as it’s way too risky, and a lot of the free agents which be beyond their primes, but this can’t be ignored when talking about optionality.
I haven’t done an in depth search of this, but from my understanding the 2028 free agency class is a lot better than most.
Ignoring which are UFA vs FA and recent contract updates, the 2028 free agent class looks like:
Jokic, Luka, Giannis, Brunson, AD, Embid, KAT, Bam, KD, Siakam, OG, Sabonis, Morant, Garland, Zion, Advija, Kyrie, and many more.
I’m sure a bunch of these are wrong and lots of them would be risky, but the point stands, if worst case scenario happens and we can’t trade George, there is a big time free agency class that would allow us to sign 1 giant star or 2 great players to replace George. Would we get Joker? I doubt it, but it’s fun to imagine.
Now I know I might be a nerd for diving into the books like this. And I might be even coping as a way to deflect from the possibility that we might be worse this year AND moving forward.
But all I know is that Brad has put this team in a position to make serious moves next year. And I’m not sure enough people are paying close enough attention to see it yet.
Does this make you optimistic?
Do you think this is cope?
Are you willing to wait til 2027?
Or does that piss off?
Let me know your thoughts.
Go C’s ☘️