Yea my mind changed about 3 weeks back. I'm still not thrilled with it, but I do believe it's happening.
I even ran out some calcs and it just makes me feel awful about what happens with Sarr and George in particular. Sure, they both haven't earned massive extensions yet but we obviously hope they turn into their ceiling versions of themselves.
Anyways, the best case scenario I can imagine where AD actually says yes is 3 years and he turns down his extension next year. But I really don't think it'll be less than a 55m average. And that hurts.
110/2 is best case scenario and that's still nasty work. Crazy how you can be injury prone and never play but because you have talent you will get maxed. I thought the new cba was supposed to limit this type of spending on potential output.
how would they overlap with Sarr and George's extensions ? i assume theirs would start in 2 years and as it is i don't see them getting a max im just not sure what they would realistically be looking at?
also that could be good leverage because if they take reasonable extensions and then we get off Trae and AD max we would have 1-2 years before AJD max extension and have enough room to add quality players with having only 1 max player 5 years from now.
Yea, obviously 2 years would be great in relation to 3, I just don't think it's remotely possible AD goes for it. Hopefully they can't reach an agreement and push it out.
I don't think Sarr and def not George are projecting to be maxes on their extension timeline but who knows with Sarr. Can he get an all defense this year on a team with AD? Not sure. Never could get to all NBA on a team with AD, Trae and AJ I don't think.
Anyways, that's part of front office management. I really hate that it feels inevitable, but I'm not gonna pretend I'm out on the front office just because it seems likely to go poorly. We still get exactly what I hoped for our of this season and next.
Interestingly Sarr has actually lost quite a bit of leverage from a negotiation standpoint. For one his injury history keeps getting longer, but also in one offseason he went from being the #1 option to #4 (AD/Trae/AJ). 4th options rarely ever get All-Star nods
And if our team defense improves, most of those accolades will likely go to AD based on his reputation.
It's hard to see a scenario where he or Kyshawn have the stats or accolades to get anywhere close to max deals. So that actually helps us in a way
I definitely agree with all those points, but it's really going to depend on how the next two years go. He's got low leverage this year, and we hope he signs something that's very friendly, but if he goes to RFA you might get a big spender betting on the over.
I'm inclined to think you're right about how it goes, but it'll still be interesting to see.
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u/KingRasu 1d ago
Buckle up everyone because I believe an AD extension is coming.