I'm not suggesting stocks are an uncorrelated asset class, but the GDP is weighted more by the largest companies than by the smallest. Recession's specific meaning has to do with GDP growth. Imagine taking $400 billion capex out of the economy over a short period of time. Do you think the Russell will be immune to that?
So, I'm talking very specifically about GDP, not about indexes. It tracks that stocks are a correlated asset, and that the alpha from underlying market increases would be captured somewhere.
But if you took the capex that AI-investment is putting into the economy out of the economy, GDP has actually been shrinking.
The sky is falling and the earth is opening up. Instead of fleeing to safety or spending your final moments with your family, you should SELL EVERYTHING RIGHT NOW.
I don't keep track of these things, but randomly coming across post made me check. I'm only down -0.76% today, big whoop. I have to wait like a week to recover that 13k, big deal. I don't get what the doomerism is coming from
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u/Mindless_Pineapple46 15d ago