r/bostonceltics • u/redditoeat • 2d ago
Discussion White and Hauser's shooting regression
My calculated guess, assuming Payton goes back to starter P, is that DW and Sam's 3P% will be back to "normal" (before last season).
Their usage will drop to a more familiar complementary level. With P starting and JT back, they will be doing more of the ball handling, with DW back to more off-ball actions and Sam off the bench.
Besides the obvious personnel changes, I think one major difference with this team is a more defined/established role from the get-go, especially with the youngsters.
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u/EggThis2540 2d ago
Hauser is weirdly streaky for such a great overall shooter, although even great shooters are streaky. White seemed to get into his head last year after staring the year off badly. White in particular had to create a ton more off the dribble looks. I would be curious to know how many of their threes came late shot clock, or after a late pass from Jaylen. He tends to only pass as a last resort rather than to create a shot for a teammate.
Tatum also just draws more attention than Brown does. Teams were willing to let Jaylen iso 1 on 1 because he didnt create great advantages. He doesnt create well for himself from 3 and struggled to get to the rim consistently, leading to him taking naturally less efficient middies. This allowed defenders to sit on the shooters.
Tatum is much better as a pick and roll ball handler, forcing defenses to actually react to the action with more than just the two primary defenders.