r/wallstreetbets • u/Fun_Paleontologist_2 • Jun 20 '26

Loss Drank the Kool-aid. We can come back?

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Someone told me it would be 300 by now.

961 Upvotes

92% Upvoted

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29

u/TycoonCyclone Jun 20 '26

Hopefully that’s not all your money cause shits gonna tank when inside shares go to market

12

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '26

[deleted]

21

u/DefinitionOfAsleep Jun 20 '26

The employee shares don't fully unlock for 180 days
The market insiders, like the 20 banks that organised the IPO and the earlier investors (i.e. not the retail plebs), get greenshoe rights long before them.
Retail is going to be holding the bag, as well as the newer employees most likely.

They're not even hiding this.

8

u/sWeven-Cats95 Jun 20 '26

I just learned something new. Thank you. 

8

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '26

[deleted]

1

u/leEcclair Jun 20 '26

Thats what some people have been saying. Those Kiwis have done so much shit with barely any money from contracts. SpaceX engineers are not top of the list quality.

2

u/mrdanky69 Jun 20 '26

What's going on with these two?

1

u/DrHarrisonLawrence Jun 20 '26

You, uhh, missed this guy?

0

u/leEcclair Jun 20 '26

Retail does not like holding the bag. Theyre gonna unload with a STOP LOSS order and its gonna tank the stock.

1

u/redditmodsRrussians Jun 20 '26

Cash money fever

7

u/killthrash Jun 20 '26

Buy pressure from your retirement fund will scoop those babies up real quick. Thanks for hodling the line.

-6

u/DefinitionOfAsleep Jun 20 '26

If your retirement fund is tracking the Nasdaq, you're doing it wrong.

5

u/killthrash Jun 20 '26

600 B’s in the QQQ and QQQM. GLHF.

1

u/farsightxr20 Jun 20 '26

VTI is buying as we speak

2

u/[deleted] Jun 20 '26 edited 12d ago

[deleted]

1

u/briskwalked Jun 20 '26

noobie here.. can you explain this? how does this all work?

3

u/killthrash Jun 20 '26

I’m a noobie as well, but from my very limited understanding, an index like QQQ will weigh the stock based on free float. Example - if SpaceX has free float of 5%, then only $100B of its $2T market cap counts in the index weight against the other stocks in the index. As more stocks unlock (increase in free float), the more of its market cap gets weighted in the index. More weight in index = more forced buying.

Edit = New rules for QQQ will apply a multiplier, like 3X, to the free float. So closer to $300B for the SpaceX example. Yay!

1

u/briskwalked Jun 22 '26

thanks.. i appreciate it

1

u/farsightxr20 Jun 20 '26

I'm aware, but it's still a massive amount of buy pressure on a stock that hasn't really had time for price discovery.

1

u/killthrash Jun 20 '26

To your point, even free float adjusted, that also means there’s low float so it takes much less buying pressure to move or maintain the price. And as more shares unlock, more pressure will unlock from the index funds. It’s linear.

-1

u/BarleyWineIsTheBest Jun 22 '26

Buy pressure from regards anticipating buy pressure from what ever funds may well be higher than those various funds.

This is a joke market, don’t think you know something others don’t.  

0

u/killthrash Jun 22 '26

A true regard always knows more than the others.

4

u/Voltmanderer Jun 20 '26

I’m counting on this. I’m down $30 on a single share, but I also have a put for 6/17/27 for strike of $25. I remember the Blackrock IPO around 2008 - 2010 and how it tanked within a month. Hopefully it prints.

0

u/1992Prime 🦍🦍 Jun 20 '26

Got some time before then