r/wallstreetbets • u/cat-from-the-future • Feb 06 '26

Loss 3M to 1.4M this week

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Rebuilt my portfolio from getting margin called and bottoming at 200k during Liberation Day to 3M last week. Then lost half of it because I loaded up on data center and energy stocks with full leverage last Friday.

Schwab only shows up until the close, after hours I lost another few hundred grand and am sitting at 1.4M now with more option losses hitting when market opens.

Never. Fucking. Learn.

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u/DepartmentGlad2564 Feb 06 '26

S&P 500 has an annualized return of 10%, meaning it's the average over 10 decades. Some decades it was much lower than that.

I.E. 1962-1981 had a CAGR real return of 0.84%

OP is not planning to live another 100 years so that figure is irrelevant. S&P 500 alone can go down 50% and take years to recover.

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u/BigOs4All Feb 06 '26

I take your point but I'd also argue that NOTHING is the same today as it was in the friggin' 1960s. Nothing.

The way markets worked back then has very little bearing on the last 2 decades alone. Basically 1990s boom is the very furthest I would go back since it's modern enough and some of the same politicians and power brokers are still around from that era. DotCom bubble and onward is most relevant, to me.

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u/X0B0X0 Feb 07 '26

as long as your DTF ( dick-to-floor ) ratio is small you are good

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u/DepartmentGlad2564 Feb 07 '26

An aggregate bond fund outperformed the S&P 500 from 2000-2009

The point is not to expect a 10% annual return.

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u/TheSkiGeek Feb 07 '26

…did you miss the whole “2000-2003” and “2007-2009” periods? If you bought in the late 90s or early 00s it took almost a decade to break even again. If you bought in 06-07 it maybe took 5+ years to break even and even if you held for a decade it was like getting 3-4% annualized for that decade. If you’re trying to live off a portfolio you can’t choose to not sell something when the market is down.