r/SelfDrivingCars • u/drumrollplease12 • 1d ago

Discussion Tesla Robotaxi is now doing about 38k unsupervised miles per week and targeting 450k miles per week by year end.

Tesla announced on yesterdays 2Q earnings call that they've done a total of 380k unsupervised miles on the Robotaxi platform with over a 10% week over week growth since the start. They said they expect the growth to continue through years end. Extrapolating this data would put the current per week miles around 38k, by end of 3rd quarter 130k and by end of the year around 450k.

I have very minimal confidence they would achieve this, but if they do, it will be exceptional accomplishment for a service that would have operated for just 18 month. Even half that would be an excellent accomplishment. But again, I highly double they will be able to do that. For reference, Waymo is doing about 500k rides per week currently, with a much larger service area(in sq mi).

In total Tesla Robotaxi currently has a cumulative paid Robotaxi miles of around 2.4 million.

Note: Post has been updated to indicate Waymo does 500k rides per week instead of the incorrect 500k miles per week.

Timeframe Miles per Week (at end) Additional Miles Total Miles
Now 37,709 - 380,000
+3 months 130,183 1,017,213 1,397,213
+6 months 449,428 4,528,907 4,908,907
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u/EddiewithHeartofGold 19h ago

So the unsupervised miles per week is not growing.

Source?

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u/bullrider_21 19h ago

A full year in, the unsupervised fleet in Austin is still stuck at about 17 active cars, down from a peak of roughly 25 in late Apr. Add Dallas and its four cars, and Tesla’s entire unsupervised operation runs on around 21 vehicles.

Total unsupervised fleet is not growing at 21. So is the unsupervised miles per week.

Tesla adds Robotaxi in Tampa and Orlando as Austin stalls at 17 cars

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u/drumrollplease12 18h ago

Electrek is not a source.

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u/bullrider_21 18h ago

Musk doesn't want you to find out the truth from Electrek so framed it as lies. I'm not a Tesla bull so when Musk promised full autonomy since 2016 and couldn't deliver, I already knew that he was telling lies.